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Mounting Treasury Debt Could Push Interest Rates Higher and Trigger a Market Crash

By: Curtis Ophoven

11/23/2009 - 6 Comments

The White House estimates that the government will have to borrow about $3.5 trillion more over the next three years.

Perhaps an even bigger problem is that Treasury has to refinance, or roll over, a huge amount of short-term debt that was issued during the financial crisis.

Treasury officials estimate that about 36 percent of the government’s marketable debt — about $1.6 trillion — is coming due in the months ahead.

At the same time, central banks all around the world are beginning to lose faith in the dollar.  If the central banks do not purchase this U.S. debt that is coming due, the global recession could quickly turn into a double-dip recession with a U.S. depression.

No matter what the Fed, the stock or the housing market does interest rates are headed a lot higher.

By the middle of next year interest rates are going to be increasing, which will further tighten credit and make it even harder for new businesses to get capital and add jobs.

Interest rates have been held much too low for far too long that the central banks have lost faith in the value of the dollar, which is why they are now turning to gold.

Artificial low interest rates are soon going to spring up very quickly as the Fed tries to save the value of the dollar from a complete collapse.  The Fed will have to forget about putting a bottom under the housing market or putting a bottom under the stock market and focus on putting a bottom under the dollar.

Saving the dollar could mean letting everything else crash.

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Reader Comments

Comment 1
Curt Says: on Monday, November 23, 2009 12:13:15 PM

Here is an excellent article, suggesting that the Fed had already set in motion another economic bust.
http://mises.org/daily/3868


Comment 2
Evan Says: on Tuesday, November 24, 2009 5:07:11 AM

Ah!!! I found what I was looking for. Somtimes it takes so much effort to find even tiny useful piece of information. http://bit.ly/2Lsw39

Comment 3
Maggie Says: on Tuesday, November 24, 2009 2:48:22 PM

just wondering--if the interest rate does go up--
which I would just love--will that effect out trillions of debt-?? I mean, is our national debt in any way tied into the current interest we get on our CD's-??? cause if it is---then wouldn't that be bad for our country in trying to pay back our loans-????


Comment 4
Jim Says: on Friday, November 27, 2009 8:18:58 AM

Don't worry people... Obama has pledged to cut the deficit (wink-wink, nudge-nudge). He's going to cleanup government waste and fraud!



Comment 5
Lawrence @ CRB Says: on Saturday, November 28, 2009 2:34:54 AM

Unemployment is high enough as it is. I'm not sure our country can handle another bust.

Comment 6
steve Says: on Tuesday, December 01, 2009 7:04:06 PM

The real star of the health care debate this weekend has been the 2,074-page bill.

…"It's a massive increase in government, as shown by this bill," Mr. Ensign told a reporter off the floor later, spreading his arms wide as if to encompass the stack of papers that comes in at more than a foot tall and, according to Sen. Lisa Murkowski, weighs in at more than 20 pounds.

The bill contains the word "tax" 511 times and includes 18 tax hikes, according to Americans for Tax Reform, a conservative lobby group. It uses the word "require" more than 1,000 times, the word "shall" more than 3,500 times, and talks about studies required by the bill 150 times.

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article15355.html


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